The S&P 500 has made significant strides, reaching all-time highs akin to those seen in the late 90s and 1920s. These periods were marked by exuberance followed by sharp market corrections, a parallel that Solway draws with the current conditions. With the S&P 500 currently down about half a percent, analysts are on high alert for signs of a head and shoulders pattern forming.
Despite a bullish sentiment among investors, Solway raises the alarm on the market's inability to maintain upward momentum during the holiday season. "The amount of sidelined capital should be propelling markets higher, yet the selling pressure suggests underlying weaknesses," he notes. This phenomenon, combined with analysts observing an accumulating level of selling, suggests that the markets may be in for a challenging 2025.
In focusing on individual stocks, Solway discusses the stock Retti and its recent performance. After issuing a swing short recommendation, Retti's stock price has begun to drop, further establishing the validity of his market analysis. With the stock currently trading at unsustainable forward revenue multiples, analysts remain skeptical about its long-term viability.
In a comprehensive analysis of the year-end market trends, expert Gareth Solway highlights the S&P 500's impressive performance, gaining over 20 percent for the second consecutive year. However, the recent market fluctuations raise concerns for investors looking ahead to 2025, especially in light of historical patterns that preceded market downturns. Solway notes that the market opened strong but quickly faced selling pressure, suggesting that investor confidence may be wavering despite favorable conditions. ### S&P 500 Market Performance and Predictions The S&P 500 has made significant strides, reaching all-time highs akin to those seen in the late 90s and 1920s. These periods were marked by exuberance followed by sharp market corrections, a parallel that Solway draws with the current conditions. With the S&P 500 currently down about half a percent, analysts are on high alert for signs of a head and shoulders pattern forming. If this pattern confirms, the markets could see a decline to levels around 5600, a critical support zone that may dictate the subsequent market trajectory. ### The Broader Market Dynamics Despite a bullish sentiment among investors, Solway raises the alarm on the market's inability to maintain upward momentum during the holiday season. "The amount of sidelined capital should be propelling markets higher, yet the selling pressure suggests underlying weaknesses," he notes. This phenomenon, combined with analysts observing an accumulating level of selling, suggests that the markets may be in for a challenging 2025. Investors need to monitor pivotal levels like 5850 on the S&P 500, as a break below this could signal more drastic declines ahead. ### Focus on Individual Stocks: The Case of Retti In focusing on individual stocks, Solway discusses the stock Retti and its recent performance. After issuing a swing short recommendation, Retti's stock price has begun to drop, further establishing the validity of his market analysis. With the stock currently trading at unsustainable forward revenue multiples, analysts remain skeptical about its long-term viability. Retti's fluctuations serve as a reminder of the risks inherent within the tech sector and the importance of technical analysis in navigating these turbulent waters. As we continue to observe market activities, investors are advised to stay informed and prepared for potential volatility as 2025 unfolds.Happy New Year, Gareth & Team! Thank you for an incredible year of charting! You are the best out there; you have extraordinary instincts! See you in 2025! 🎉🥳
Thanks for all the engaging and informative sessions in 2024. I am looking forward to continuing to follow you in 2025 and hope to keep on learning.
thanks for not letting the rich and mega institutions crush the little people, doing good , appreciate what you have done
Thank you for your good honest passion for teaching.. Unlike suits trying to rip us off..
Keep up the great work Gareth, a happy prosperous New Year to all, kind regards from the mountains of Norway.